Friday, June 15, 2007

Here we go again. The Bulletin publishes a set of statistics and comes up with different, even opposite, conclusions than I would.

REGIONAL ECONOMY IS DIVERSIFYING.

Lets see:
Construction (natural resources and mining),up from 2001, 7.7 vs. 11.1.
Professional and business services, up, 7.8 vs. 9.8

Retail trade, down, 15.5 vs. 13.8.
Manufacturing, down 12.6 vs. 9.7.

O.K. Am I wrong as seeing 'construction' and 'business services' as being tied into the housing market, which is headed down? The Bulletin itself says, "The largest industry gains over the six-year period have been in construction, professional and business services..."

Am I wrong to see a loss of manufacturing jobs as being less than healthy?

It seems to me we're headed in the wrong direction, as far as diversity goes.

When you look at averages compared to the state, it's worse. "Central Oregon has almost twice the percentage of construction jobs as the United States and Oregon. It also beats state and national numbers in retail, and the leisure and hospitality industries.

"In May 2007, 11.1 percent of the tri-county's jobs fell under construction, according to the data. In the nation, 6.1 percent of jobs were in construction...

"In retail, Central Oregon had 13.8 percent of its jobs tied to
this typically lower-wage industry, compared with 11 percent in the nation and 11.6 percent in the state.

"In leisure and hospitality, Central Oregon and it's 475 - million-a-year tourism industry comprised 12.6 percent of all employment, compared with 9.9 percent in the nation and Oregon."

This is diversity? Never mind we've lost manufacturing jobs, which are the kind of jobs we really need, relatively high-paying, non touristy jobs.

The text of the article, the quotes, seem to me to directly contradict the title of the article.

Oh, Bulletin. Your eyes say, yes, yes, yes but your words say no, no, no.

Construction, retail and hospitality "'have more eggs' of the Central Oregon employment basket, Williams said.

"If one of those industries were to take a huge hit, we would feel it more," he said. "We don't have the same diversity mix as the U.S and Oregon."

The italics are mine, just to highlight how the last paragraph of the article is opposite the first paragraph.

Edited to add:

It may not seem like it, but I like the Bulletin. Really I do. No irony or sarcasm attached.

Maybe because I started reading the paper in high school, I've always liked the layout, the selection of stories. It's always been too conservative for me, but that reflects the local populace. It's sometimes been a bit boosterish for me, but that is probably better than the alternative. It sometimes seems impelled to put positive slants into the titles and opening paragraphs of their articles, and then contradict them in the meat of the story. But, you know, putting up a neutral title, like,
NEW STATISTICS ABOUT JOBS RELEASED, probably wouldn't sell papers.

They went a little extreme, even weirdly conservative, when Chandler died. Coloring the bridge opponents as 'nuts', went too far for even the locals, and they immediately wised up and became a bit more subtle in their slams. They are so reliably conservative in their editorials that I can pretty much figure out the truth by assuming the opposite.

It may be a beginning paper for some of their reporters, but I believe the Bulletin does get the best and brightest, who often go on to very strong careers.

And while I'm at it. I also think that most of our local leaders, in the city council and county, mean well for the locals.

A caveat. I'm not much of a 'conspiracy' thinker. In college I wrote a paper for Orde Pinckney's COCC Government class, saying that I didn't believe the oil companies had conspired to raise gas prices. I was enamored of what I thought was 'inside' knowledge, from Washington Week in Review, and the New York Times, etc. Of course, a few years later, the oil companies were pleading guilty, and paying 'windfall' profits taxes. (I also got an A on the paper -- but I think Orde was just pleased to have a student who actually READ the New York Times on a regular basis, and watched Wash. Wk in Review.....)

I usually have to look at a situation and ADD the conspiracy element, because it's not my natural inclination.

But I don't believe our Boss Hogs are getting rich, or are corrupt. Unfortunately, I do believe that developers with vast experience in dealing with local government and in exploiting the landscape, can come in and outmaneuver and manipulate even the smartest local leader. It happened with the saving and loan debacle, too. What's happening to Bend is happening in many places, in kind if not degree, and it would almost take a local leader who has already been through the process somewhere else to navigate it all.

I'm sure BendBust will tell me I'm being mealy-mouthed. But I think its important not to tarnish people's reputation without proof.

O.K. Bilbo, have at it.

I also really dislike innuendo and rumor, when talking about local leaders. Not fair, not fair at all.

11 comments:

Anonymous said...


I usually have to look at a situation and ADD the conspiracy element, because it's not my natural inclination.


If a group of ants form a unit, and move a crystal of sugar 100 times an individual body mass, is that not collective work-effort?

Yet, why is impossible to believe that a group of like-minded businessmen cannot organize and move a mass 100 times their body mass?

Conspiracy requires secrecy, there are NO secrets, just like your teacher was impressed you read the paper, and watch NPR. Had you dug a little deeper, there are 1,000's book that would have told you exactly how the oil business operates, hell you can go back the Supreme Court standard-oil war at the turn of the century when they busted the octopus.

My favorite quote on conspiracy is that of Malcolm-x, he said "White man is NOT smart enough to conspire in secret".

There are NO secrets, there are just people making decisions short of facts. There is generally NO conspiracy, because even the greatest GROUP of our times is-was published by Carrol-Quigley, the Georgetown Professor that personally mentored WJ-Clinton on who runs the world, there are NO secrets. Just too few people who take the time to learn the truth.

Anonymous said...

Unfortunately, I do believe that developers with vast experience in dealing with local government and in exploiting the landscape, can come in and outmaneuver and manipulate even the smartest local leader.

Once again Duncan misses the whole point.

One only has to read the twisted LesSchwab notes from Dec-2006, have you read them Duncan? Do you care to read them? If you read them, you would see that our elected folks asked the right questions, but the problem is-was they didn't have the balls to stand up to the folks that actually own this town.

Read the following, these are pathetic people in tears, that are being torn apart by power, it was so bad that Hummel quit a few months later, and Abernethy started seeing the light.

This is what was SAID Duncan, nobody ever said they said the things you said they said, Read the following and see what are elected leaders are saying, and then ask th e simple question, why didn't they have the balls to just say NO.

www.ci.bend.or.us/city_hall/meeting_minutes/docs/IS_Juniper_Ridge_Update_013007.pdf

Anonymous said...

Councilor Hummel believes this is the toughest vote he has ever had to make.

A few months later Hummel quits, the Bulleting blames it on the BUS fiasco. The fact is the elected officials are incapable of being matched against the boss-hogs and thier lawyers that RUN this town.

Now DUNCAN this is just like Grade-Schol YOU say you didn't know that BIG-OIL rigged prices, and likewise you say YOU don't know what's going on in BEND, now YOU DO KNOW, what are YOU going to do about it.


les schwab juniper ridge
Page 1
Bend City Council Special Meeting
Page 1 of 3
December 12, 2006
Bend City Council Special Meeting
December 12, 2006
1.
Roll Call
A special meeting of the Bend City Council was called to order at 9:00 A.M. in the City Council
Chambers at Bend City Hall, 710 NW Wall. Present upon roll call by City Recorder Patty Stell
were Bend City Councilors Dave Malkin, Linda Johnson, Bruce Abernethy, John Hummel, Chris
Telfer, and Mayor Bill Friedman. Councilor Jim Clinton joined the meeting during Executive
Session.
2.
Mayor Friedman called a recess to Executive Session at 9:00 A.M. pursuant to ORS
192.660 (2) (e).
3.
The special meeting reconvened at 9:59 A.M.
4.
Sale of Real Property
Economic Development Director John Russell explained the public hearing to consider a land
sale for the first 20 acres of Juniper Ridge. The agreement is for the immediate purchase of 12
acres with an option for an additional eight acres over the next 12 years. The company would be
building a 120 square foot building for 320 employees. The land would be for Les Schwab
corporate headquarters relocating from Prineville. The company approached the City in May
anonymously. This would be for the corporate headquarters and the remainder of the Prineville
operations would remain in Prineville. The Company was considering Bend or leaving the state.
a. Hold a public hearing to receive comment on the proposed sale of real
property
Mayor Friedman opened the public hearing at 10: 01 A.M. Hearing no comments, the public
hearing was closed.
b. Consider a motion to sell real property
Councilor Telfer moved to approve the purchase and sale agreement with SWW LLC. Councilor
Malkin seconded the motion.
Discussion:
Councilor Johnson advised that this is a difficult vote for her. The City has great dreams for
Juniper Ridge and respects Les Schwab as a regional partner. She understands that the Council
is being asked not only to vote for Bend, but to vote for the region. The vote is difficult for her
because Council has been held to secrecy and been asked by the employer to put relationships
with regional partners at risk. Council has only been given an hour to review the agreement and
to discuss it. There is not a direct tie to the principles that Council established for Juniper Ridge.
It might be a great agreement, but Council has not been given an opportunity to talk about it and
Page 2
Bend City Council Special Meeting
Page 2 of 3
December 12, 2006
ask the questions that are needed to make the best choice for the City and for the region.
Councilor Johnson will vote no, not because of the content of the agreement, but because of the
process and the position that the Council has been put in to take a vote which puts at risk the
Council’s relationships with the region.
Councilor Hummel believes this is the toughest vote he has ever had to make. The fact that Les
Schwab is such an important employer to Prineville and to Crook County is what initially struck
him. He worked in Prineville when he first lived in Central Oregon. Les Schwab saved the
community when mills were shutting down. Councilor Hummel respects Les Schwab for staying
in the Prineville community for all these years when it didn’t make financial sense for them to
stay. He saw the kids who worked at Les Schwab who could stay in Prineville and raise a family
because of the living wage jobs. They were proud to work for Les Schwab. If Les Schwab will
leave Central Oregon if Bend City Council does not approve the contract, then all the employees
will lose. He understands this is the corporate office and not the operations. Les Schwab has a
right to do whatever it wants and it has given more than anyone to the community of Prineville.
Councilor Hummel had been leaning toward a vote of yes because he felt it would save jobs in
the region. Then, Councilor Clinton raised the issue of the details of the agreement. The details
of the agreement did not come close to working. Councilor Hummel believes the details are bad.
It is unfortunate that Les Schwab insisted on these deal breaking terms.
Councilor Clinton believes that Les Schwab is the kind of company Bend would welcome in
Juniper Ridge. It embodies good paying jobs, community spirit, and a contributing nature that he
would love to have at Juniper Ridge. However, the details of the contract have put the Council
in a box. It is an unfortunate way of proceeding that looks like bullying. The contract is not in
the best interest of the City or of Juniper Ridge and is not fiscally prudent for the community,
Juniper Ridge, or the City. The contract includes precedent setting incentives. Council made an
attractive offer for the land, better than to the master developer. Land was offered at a
discounted price with the condition that no further incentives would be offered. The contract has
other incentives and allows that this company be treated differently than any other company
would be treated. He believes the contract is remarkably and unacceptably bad.
Councilor Malkin will vote yes because it is very important that Les Schwab stay in Central
Oregon. He is concerned that Les Schwab not leave the state. Additionally, he believes that Les
Schwab will be an incredibly good business to start off the City’s operation at Juniper Ridge.
The company will bring 350 jobs to Bend. It is one of the leading employers in Central Oregon.
It is the strongest regional business in the west, and he is pleased that Bend can retain them in
Central Oregon.
Mayor Friedman hears a huge amount of affection for Les Schwab and excitement about the
company locating in Juniper Ridge. He also hears distress about the agreement itself. In terms
of secrecy and restriction, it is not consistent with his image of Les Schwab. He will vote yes
with the hope to see the real Les Schwab emerge. He hopes the company’s principals will fit
with the Council’s principles established for Juniper Ridge. If it turns out that this hope is not
realized, then he believes he will have made a mistake.
Page 3
Bend City Council Special Meeting
Page 3 of 3
December 12, 2006
Upon roll call vote the motion to approve the purchase and sales agreement passed, 4/3.
Councilors Abernethy, Telfer, Malkin and Mayor Friedman supported the motion. Councilors
Clinton, Johnson and Hummel were opposed.
Mayor Friedman explained that the City Manager is authorized to execute the agreement with
Les Schwab. Council would appreciate the opportunity to understand where Les Schwab intends
to go with this agreement.
5.
Adjourn
Councilor Johnson moved to adjourn. Councilor Malkin seconded the motion which passed
unanimously, 7/0.
The meeting adjourned at 10:14 A.M.
Respectfully submitted,
Patricia Stell
City Recorder
/km

Anonymous said...

I'm sure BendBust will tell me I'm being mealy-mouthed. But I think its important not to tarnish people's reputation without proof.

If a weak council was exploited by name, and in their own name, and that so tarnish thou, is that truly slander and/or libel??

Or perhaps YOUR use of the terms tarnish, perhaps don't really apply to what was actually said about the wise city-council.

Duncan McGeary said...

O.K. I read the damn thing.

Hmmmmm....

I guess my reaction, from a distance, is that Les Scwab either wants to be in Bend, or doesn't, and that giving in to arm twisting isn't going to make it any more likely they'll stay, and making them wait for a decision wasn't going to make it any more likely they wouldn't stay. So, the city council should have said, "Yes, we're delighted! But, of course, we must take time to look at all the details. You understand. But in the meantime, we are very happy to be partners with you!"

That would put the pressure back on the Les Schwab team.

I know that giving into arm-twisting never works out well in the long run, as it sets a precedent.

But I do think this is an example of sophisticated negotiating techniques on the part of Les Schwab's team, exploiting the weakness of a local city council.

And I while I agree -- money protects money, I think that Juniper Ridge is going to be difficult to pull off without a four year college, which doesn't look forthcoming.

I think that Juniper Ridge is a concept that the city is damned if it pursues and damned if it doesn't pursue.

Duncan McGeary said...

The decision must also be judged in the context of the original developer of Juniper Ridge backing out, accusing the city council of delay and indecisiveness. At least, that's the way I remember it.

I suspect, actually, Juniper Ridge is all potential. But not much reality. The city council is in a difficult position of trying to make something work that probably can't work.

Duncan McGeary said...

The question the city council was probably asking itself was: is a bad deal better than no deal at all?

Les Schwab is a popular character around her, at least in myth. Would've probably been politically untenable to refuse him.

Trouble was, even before he died, we probably weren't dealing with Les, any more than the city is dealing with Sam Walton.

What is the imperative that Juniper Ridge happen? It seems an awful like, 'build it and they will come' rather than, they're coming and we must build.

Bend Economy Man said...

I suspect, actually, Juniper Ridge is all potential. But not much reality.

Juniper Ridge is what, a glorified office park? It's supposed to be a campus of high-tech offices, right?

Doesn't Bend have hundreds of thousands of square feet of new office space coming on line in the Old Mill District, the Bachelor parking lot and other places?

It's really funny how Bend thinks it can use a real estate development (Juniper Ridge) to diversify away from overreliance on real estate development.

Mrs Sally Heatherton Esq said...

The question the city council was probably asking itself was: is a bad deal better than no deal at all

They said it was a bad deal, they said it was a secret deal, they said there was an artificial urgency, They said they only had ONE HOUR to read the deal.

Why PLAY games like this, here sign this and give away $7M dollars in investment to les-schwab, you have 1hr to read, and take it or leave it.

NOBODY does business this way, your defending them.

Lastly they said that this WHOLE ordeal is-was UNLIKE the lesSchwab they knew.

Where does DUNCAN always get this probably this or probably that, what does DUNCAN really think? What does DUNCAN actually know? What does DUNCAN actually care about??

Note the CITY-COUNCIL is quite emotional everyone one of them questioned the DEAL, nobody said 'probably', or 'maybe', or 'sometimes' like DUNCAN does.

THEY said EXPLICITLY that this was a BAD deal for the PEOPLE of the region, they said that they were being FORCED to approve a deal OUTSIDE of their jurisdiction.

Do you ever read and/or THINK DUNCAN?

Bend Economy Man said...

Duncan,

You had mentioned that you like The Bulletin, but they've been going a bit off the deep end lately in their editorializing.

I think they've gone NUTS. This whole scandal where they tried to smear this kindhearted philanthropist Oregon legislator Betsy Johnson, who supports Oregon Senate Bill 30 to ban destination resorts on the Metolius, makes me sick.

Long story short, they keep sinisterly suggesting there's some kind of "conflict of interest" because Betsy Johnson owns 160 acres near the headwaters of the Metolius. This shows contempt for Bulletin readers' intelligence. Since the bill would impose restrictions on use of her OWN land - thereby making it worth less money - the conflict of interest would arise if she OPPOSED the bill.

They also conveniently forget to mention that the property has been in Betsy Johnson's family for generations and her parents are the ones who DONATED the headwaters of the Metolius to the government so that they would be in the public stewardship.

Of course the Bulletin editors know all this. They know what a conflict of interest is and isn't, and they know that Betsy Johnson is 100 times more honest than they'll ever be. But they also know that the average Bulletin reader DOESN'T know any of that.

The kindest thing I can say about crap like this is that The Bulletin has a kind of paternalistic, Bill O'Reilly / Dick Cheney brand of conservatism where their view of the "truth" is more important than the facts. They're confident they know what needs to be done and what issues you should support or oppose. No point wasting time educating readers on the facts when--with a few well-placed, slimy mischaracterizations--dimwitted, rural readers can be agitated to support or oppose the issue as The Bulletin needs.

Kind of sounds like how we ended up in Iraq, right?

The Bulletin has prospered as Bend has grown. They've increased their circulation. BUT, they've decreased their clout. 15 years ago, The Bulletin was the only newspaper most Bendites read regularly. The only other newspaper available for subscription was The Oregonian. I grew up in Bend, and I never saw a New York Times Bend Cable kept out of Bend until the mid-90s) before I went off to college. The Bulletin was the Paper of Record for Bend.

Incidentally, college was also the first time I saw MTV. The born-again owners of Bend Cable made sure the channel wasn't available in Bend until the late '90s. When I got to the dorm and didn't know who Beavis and Butthead were, people thought I must have grown up on a commune.

Anyhoo, back in the day people took The Bulletin's views seriously, but nowadays people take what they read in The Bulletin, especially the reactionary horseshit on the Editorials page, with a big grain of salt. Because they've compared what they read there with what they've seen elsewhere. Nowadays almost every news source in the world is on the Internet. And just about any issue covered by both The Bulletin and another paper - well, you can tell by the end of the first paragraph which of them is full of shit.

Duncan McGeary said...

I agree with you, BEM. I like the paper probably because I've read it so long, I'm comfortable with the layout, and have gotten used to interpreting their coverage.

And i know this; Betsy Johnson is a great lady. The Bulletin editorial page is loony conservative. So who am I gonna believe?